Reducing returns before funding growth
Ready-to-wear retailer
Improve profitability of existing orders.
The product selection under review generated 50,000 orders a year, with an 18% return rate. Management was torn between more advertising and better product pages.
Approach
- 01
Frame
The task was to choose between more customer acquisition and improving existing orders, with an initial investment of $27,000 CAD. The conversion rate could not drop by more than 0.2 points.
- 02
Investigate
The reasons behind 1,500 returns and customer comments revealed uncertainty about sizing and cut. Certain items accounted for a high share of returns.
- 03
Explain
Poorly targeted customers and insufficient product information were compared. Size-related reasons, on the affected items, mainly supported the second explanation.
- 04
Build
We compared more advertising, promotions, and product pages enriched with fit guidance, with the existing product pages as the baseline.
- 05
Test
800 orders were allocated between two versions of the product pages. The thresholds set in advance were a return rate below 15% and a conversion drop limited to 0.2 points. Returns fell to 13.5%, from 18.5%; conversion fell by 0.1 points.
- 06
Decide
Management extended the new product pages and kept the advertising budget at its current level. The sample justified a broader test before any growth commitment.
- 07
Steer
At three months, the return rate stood at 15.4%. The pages for the most problematic items have been corrected, and the annual projection is still considered uncertain.
Test results
What AI contributed
AI grouped the return reasons and drafted the descriptions from verified characteristics. Sizes and fit guidance were validated against the products.
Business model (projection)
A three-point drop on 50,000 orders corresponds to 1,500 avoided returns. At $35 of avoidable cost per return, the gain reaches $52,500 before $12,000 of annual monitoring. The sales margin is excluded from this gain to avoid double counting.
| Initial investment | $27,000 CAD |
|---|---|
| Annual gains | $52,500 CAD |
| Costs to subtract | $12,000 CAD |
| Net annual gain | $40,500 CAD |
| Simple payback | 8 months (at steady state) |
| Prudent scenario | $14,250 CAD net, payback in 22.7 months |
Annual projection built from the engagement results. It is not a guarantee of performance.
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